Last year Ross Young of Show Supply Chain Consultants has predicted that base iPhone models will switch to the Dynamic Island-style front camera with the 2023 generation, i.e. iPhone 15. Now DSCC has a prediction of when base models will transition to ProMotion displays, Apple’s trademark for high refresh rate, and no, it’s not this year.
We’ve already determined that the iPhone 15 and 15 Plus will be skipping 120Hz and always-on display mode — dropping the notch will be their update this year. However, next year’s models, the iPhone 16, will also use a standard LTPS panel with a 60Hz refresh rate, according to new data from Young. Here is the chronology that DSCC is predicting:
It seems that Apple wants to maintain a clear division between iPhone Pro and vanilla displays. If it’s not Dynamic Island, it will be ProMotion. And when it’s not ProMotion, it will be an under-display FaceID.
Forecasts last year suggested that the FaceID system and potentially the selfie camera will go under the display in 2024. Now that seems unlikely, it could have been pushed back to 2025 and the launch of the iPhone 17.
Note that this timeline suggests that FaceID will go under first (which has never been done before), while the camera will remain above ground with a punch hole (UD cameras have been around for a few years on Android). It will not be until 2027 with the iPhone 19 series that the iPhone Pro models will have an under-display camera.
This will also be the first generation of base iPhones with an under-display FaceID system – again, Apple wants a clear differentiation between Pro and vanilla iPhones. Of course, the base models will receive other improvements in the meantime.
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