It would be really nice to be able to attend political debates in Italy like the one aired on Wednesday evening between Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen. Almost three hours of tense ball throws, eye to eye tense competitive ferocity, which gave the French the opportunity to measure much more than the various programmatic proposals.
The human depth, the character, the body language, the calmness and the aggression, the smile is the mockery, the competence and the irony, in short the all-round ability to be able to exercise the full powers of a French president: this was the real focus of the duel. And Macron won, without a shadow of a doubt, for his political stature, but also because he started off with the advantage of five intense years of exercising power, of decisions taken on complex dossiers that he has shown to govern with the competence of those who seem born enarca , Grand Commis de l’État.
He lost Le Pen because he never administered anything, he never exercised power of government, he never chose, he only opposed, he never opened a dossier. What’s more, he has in his pocket the loans of a bank controlled by Putin.
But Marine still took revenge from the loser with honor and displaced Macron because she managed to nullify the ferocious narrative of the Front Républicain, of the call to arms of all the French people to vote for Macron to defeat a subversive, aggressive, dangerous right . Le Pen, this new Marine, managed to give the impression of not being dangerous, racist, xenophobic, populist.
On the contrary, she seemed matronly, calm, smiling, she did not give Macron the slightest foothold to demonize her, if not the very heavy past as a creditor of Putin. Le Pen puts forward proposals of common sense, which can be shared, which Macron contrasts only on a technical level. You except a proposal. Forced to motivate the followers of Èric Zemmour to vote for him, she abandons common sense and proposes a ban on the Islamic veil in public spaces. “You want the civil war,” she has a good game provoking her Macron, but she recovers in part by declaring her full respect for Islam, and directs her arrows on subversive Islam by forcing Macron to agree .
Those who expected an epochal clash between two worldviews are certainly disappointed, but the hard blows struck by the two contenders nevertheless allowed the voters to measure the technocratic arrogance of the one – the man is incurably know-it-all and cannot hide being a high bourgeois imbued with technocracy – and the lack of competence in governance, compensated by the moderate wisdom of those who speak every day with the populace, of the other.
Therefore, a winning Macron, with a leap forward in the polls the next day, but also a Le Pen that radically changes the scene of European populism, of which it is the solid center of gravity. A populism that at the moment no longer screams, that does not break, that does not call the plebs to revolt, that does not want to leave Europe at all but intends to reform it in small steps, a populism not even remotely suspicious of racism or xenophobia. A populism of common sense, moderate, sided with the Ukrainian resistance and with a discreet concrete programmatic proposal in favor of the working classes overwhelmed by inflation and the cost of living.
A turning point already matured in the electoral campaign and that points far. In two years there will be a vote for the European elections and it is unlikely that the Ppe-Ps bloc will be able to maintain its dominance (in 2019 it won with a minimum difference of 9 votes) therefore doors open to a new center-right majority in Europe and then between five years he will revolt for the presidential elections and Macron will not be able to reappear. And he will not have an heir, because he departed from him République En Marche it is little more than a hyperpersonalist electoral committee, which he governs with an iron fist.
And Le Pen, even wiser, more mature and matronly, will still be able to attempt the challenge and perhaps win it over the ruins of the Gaullists and socialists who have crumbled on their own.
Thus, a marathon Marine aiming for a long-term progression of consensus starting with the upcoming National Assembly elections in June that Macron will likely lose and therefore be forced to build a parliamentary majority with uncertain alliances.
The reflections of this new French scenario are inevitable also on the Italian political scene with the amusing displacement of Matteo Salvini who just fails to follow Le Pen in the moderate turn and to abandon the ramshackle Papeete style and also of Giorgia la Meloni, who in reality is very much in harmony with nouveau modératisme of Le Pen, but it hasn’t feeling personal with her and, as president of the European Conservatives and Reformists, verifies in the European Parliament that the MEPs of Le Pen have not at all understood the moderate turn of their leader.
Start a new Thread